China's largest new energy vehicle market?

China's largest new energy vehicle market?

The statistics released by the China Automobile Association recently show that China’s new energy vehicles have both prosperously produced and sold in the past year, and the growth rate has exceeded three times. On February 16, the Ministry of Science and Technology issued the “Key Special Implementation Plan for New Energy Vehicles under the National Key R&D Program (Draft for Soliciting Opinions)”, which once again mentioned the target of 5 million new energy vehicles in China in 2020. According to the analysis, as a new national strategy, new energy vehicles have received strong support from the state and all levels of competent ministries and commissions, favorable policies are frequent, and policy support continues to increase. China's new energy auto market will surpass the US market in the past year or two and become the world's largest new energy auto market.

Last year, environmental protection agencies across the country carried out research on the source of atmospheric particulates. The results show that vehicle exhaust emissions are one of the most important sources of PM2.5 in cities. Beijing Municipal Environmental Protection Bureau Director Chen Tian once told the media that Beijing’s air pollution accounted for about 75% of local emissions, of which motor vehicle pollution accounted for the largest, accounting for 22.2%; Tianjin Environmental Protection Bureau announced the results of Tianjin PM2. 5 Local sources accounted for 66%~78% of local emissions, and the contribution of motor vehicles to local pollution reached 20%; Jinan City's data showed that local pollutant emissions from PM2.5 sources in Jinan accounted for 68%~80%, and motor vehicles accounted for 15 %.

In the face of severe atmospheric pollution, local governments have also paid more attention to the promotion of new energy vehicles this year. Local governments have introduced relevant favorable policies: Beijing plans to build a charging network with an average service radius of 5 kilometers within the Sixth Ring Road in 2015; the Beijing Municipal Commission of Development and Reform, or the Traffic Commission, will introduce a new energy vehicle toll and parking fee before the end of March. The policy plan; Shanghai for plug-in hybrid electric cars without electricity, which is contrary to the original intention of the new energy vehicles to promote the plug-in hybrid vehicles must be equipped with charging piles in order to free licenses.

The data recently released by the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology shows that from 2013 to 2014, China's total promotion of new energy vehicles was 92,900 vehicles, and the number of planned promotion in 2013-2015 was 336,000. To this end, analysts believe that in 2015 the promotion of new energy vehicles will usher in an explosive growth, or reach 250,000, related to this, lithium battery, lithium battery equipment, motor drive and other industrial chain companies will continue to benefit. However, the development of new energy vehicles depends not only on national policy support, but also requires strong local support and linkage. At the local “two sessions” this year, the representative committee put forward many practical suggestions and policies on the development of local new energy vehicles, especially with respect to charging infrastructure for electric vehicles.

On February 16 this year, the Ministry of Science and Technology of the People's Republic of China promulgated the "National Key R&D Program for New Energy Vehicle Key Special Implementation Plan (Draft for Soliciting Opinions)" and plans to establish a complete electric vehicle power system technology system and industrial chain by 2020 to achieve 500 The promotion target of 10,000 vehicles provides technical support.

Industry analysts believe that the national policy level again emphasizes the goal of 5 million vehicles, which means that the long-term development goals of China's new energy vehicles will remain unchanged. According to the hypothesis of 250,000 vehicles for promotion in 2015, the annual demand for lithium battery is expected to be 14.1 Gwh, which is the same With an increase of 220%, the supply in the first half of 2015 is still in short supply. It is expected that the total investment in lithium battery cell equipment will reach RMB 12.1 billion in 2015, which represents a year-on-year increase of 152%. In 2015, the demand for motor and electronic control systems is expected to reach 250,000, an increase of 220% year-on-year.

Another point of view is that China and the United States have become the world's two largest markets for new energy vehicles, although sales of new energy vehicles in China still lags behind the 40,000 US market in 2014. However, due to the policy dependence of the new energy auto market itself and China's unique policy and efficient system, China's new energy auto market will surpass the US market in the past year or two and become the world's largest new energy auto market.


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