Recently, the National Energy Administration held an enlarged meeting of the party group to revisit the important speech of General Secretary Xi Jinping at the sixth meeting of the Central Financial and Economic Leading Group and put forward the seven directions for implementing the energy revolution strategy.

On June 13, 2014, General Secretary Xi Jinping delivered an important speech at the 6th meeting of the Central Financial and Economic Leading Group, proposing major strategies to promote the energy consumption revolution, the energy supply revolution, the energy technology revolution, the energy system revolution, and the all-round strengthening of international cooperation. thought.

Nur Becker, deputy director of the National Development and Reform Commission and director of the National Energy Administration, said that the sixth meeting of the Central Financial and Economic Leading Group pointed out that the energy revolution strategy thought raised the energy development to the strategic level of the revolution for the first time, and formed a solution to energy resources and environmental constraints. The "China Program" for the sustainable development of mankind and the building of a community of human destiny.

In this regard, Chai Minmin, director of the International Cooperation Department of the National Center for Climate Change Strategy Research and International Cooperation, analyzed the 21st Century Business Herald reporter. The most challenging of the five revolutions in energy is the institutional revolution, which is the next step for the National Energy Administration. The main direction.

Chai Minmin believes that this seven-part work is a strategic big problem, a new trend problem, and a stubborn problem that often cannot be solved. The thinking is clear and the direction is clear.

How to transform energy in 2050

In the seven directions of future energy work, Nur Becker proposed, first of all, to study and formulate a road map for energy transformation in 2050, and identify important time nodes, phase targets and specific paths.

According to the “Revolution Strategy for Energy Production and Consumption (2016-2030)” issued by the National Development and Reform Commission and the National Energy Administration, by 2020, the total energy consumption will be controlled within 5 billion tons of standard coal, and the proportion of coal consumption will be further reduced. Clean energy will become energy. Incremental entities, non-fossil energy accounted for 15%; carbon dioxide emissions per unit of GDP fell by 18% compared to 2015.

By 2030, the total energy consumption will be controlled within 6 billion tons of standard coal. Non-fossil energy accounts for about 20% of total energy consumption, and natural gas accounts for about 15%. New energy demand is mainly met by clean energy; Carbon dioxide emissions from GDP fell by 60%-65% compared to 2005.

By 2050, non-fossil energy consumption will account for 50%. Chai Minmin believes that this goal is much higher than the academic advice.

On June 9, the results of the major consulting project “Promoting Energy Production and Consumption Revolution Strategy Research (Phase I)” issued by the Chinese Academy of Engineering showed that non-fossil energy consumption accounted for only 30% by 2050.

According to Chai Minmin's analysis, the Chinese government's energy transformation is stronger than the academic research community and its attitude is more determined. It can be expected that China's energy transformation will also face great challenges.

Nur Becker said that the second important task is to thoroughly grasp the binding targets, reform measures and major projects of the 13th Five-Year Plan for energy development, and start the mid-term evaluation research work as soon as possible.

Lin Boqiang, dean of the China Energy Research Institute of Xiamen University, analyzed the economic report of the 21st century. The core issue in the 2050 energy transformation roadmap is how to reduce the proportion of coal consumption and improve the cleanliness and low carbonization of China's energy structure.

Nur Becker revealed that in the near future, "Several Opinions on Promoting Supply-side Structural Reform to Prevent and Resolve the Risk of Overcapacity of Coal-to-Power" will be put forward, and the installed capacity of coal-fired power in 2020 will be controlled to be within 1.1 billion kilowatts.

Will draft an energy internet roadmap

According to the arrangement of the National Energy Administration, the next step will be to accelerate the introduction of the “Northern Clean Winter Heating Plan (2017-2021)”, focusing on solving the outstanding problems of clean heating due to “last mile” of gas use.

The 21st Century Business Report was informed that the National Energy Administration has issued a document requesting the Development and Reform Commission of Beijing, Tianjin, Hebei, Shanxi, Inner Mongolia, Liaoning, Jilin, Heilongjiang, Shandong, Shaanxi, Gansu, Qinghai, Ningxia, Xinjiang, Henan and other provinces (autonomous regions, municipalities). (Energy Bureau), Xinjiang Development and Construction Corps Development and Reform Commission (Energy Bureau) organized the implementation of renewable energy clean heating implementation plan, submitted to the National Energy Administration in written form before July 10 this year, and focused on the establishment of renewable energy clean heating this year engineering.

Nur Becker revealed that the National Energy Administration will study and draft the Action Plan for Promoting Energy Internet Development to further clarify the connotation, development roadmap and key implementation measures of the energy Internet.

Chai Yumin said that the energy Internet is very popular in the market and the imagination is huge. Although the “Guidance on Promoting the Development of “Internet +” Smart Energy (6.990, 0.02, 0.29%) has been released before, the connotation of the current energy Internet is still a bit confusing. It is very necessary to further clarify and gradually explore and clarify the source.

According to Accenture Consulting's research, thanks to the rapid development of IT/OT technology, the energy Internet has taken shape and evolved into a new format. By 2020, the total market size of China's energy Internet will exceed 940 billion US dollars, and energy Internet accounts for about 7% of China's GDP.

In addition, Nur Bakli said that it will continue to deepen the reform of power and oil and gas systems and release the reform dividend to a greater extent; relying on the international cooperation of “One Belt, One Road”, focusing on international resource acquisition, infrastructure interconnection, and improvement of international energy governance, etc. , comprehensively deepen energy international cooperation.

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